THE STRENGTH OF AN INTERNATIONAL

leader

WITH A HOMETOWN TOUCH

January 2019 – Earnings and Emotions

There are many forces that contribute to the overall volatility we see and experience in the equity markets; from the Geo-political environment to the Federal Reserve and the global markets themselves; all of which are beyond our control. In my opinion, it all comes down to two key market driving forces; earnings and emotions. Human emotions tend to rise and fall based on how we feel about the latest news headlines and events in the market place or around the world. Because emotions are temporary and ever changing, their impact to the markets are usually temporary and ongoing. As we find answers to certain questions and solutions to problems, our fears and concerns subside and give way to a more optimistic outlook. This cycle continually repeats itself. Ultimately, fear and emotion will likely give way to logic and earnings. Behavioral finance or behavioral economics incorporates psychology-based theories to help explain this market volatility. Simply put, if we have a herd like mentality and we follow the herd, we are going to step in what they leave behind. A well-diversified portfolio of quality investments that are properly allocated among the various asset classes is designed to withstand the test of time.

Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Asset allocation and diversification do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.